Statistics are very important in sports betting. In some sports, such as soccer or baseball, it is crucial to predict the course of the game.
Statistics are given great importance in sports betting, and rightly so. Thus, you can often draw conclusions about the expected course of the game from the numbers. However, you must make a distinction:
“Static” sports: e.g., baseball betting: no change of direction, when one move is over, the next one follows according to a given pattern. This makes it easier to predict the course of the game with statistics.
Dynamic sports: this includes soccer. As they say: the ball is round, so the game can change direction. In soccer, it happens all the time. Events are hard to predict, so it’s hard to work with statistics in soccer.
Before you make a bet, you can use statistics and try to predict the course of the game and its outcome.
Do I really need statistics to bet on soccer?
Of course, no one is obliged to use statistics when predicting sports betting. You can also rely on your instinct or apply your experience and knowledge about a particular team. However, it has been found that bets become more successful if statistics are included.
Experts recommend not relying solely on statistics, but also not relying only on your gut or the latest news, such as which player is excluded. It is necessary to act consistently.
Here’s the data you need to pay attention to.
Statistics of personal meetings
You can find these statistics at most bookmakers Most betting providers now have access to a lot of data, such as:
- Latest games
- Direct comparison
- Top scorers
In fact, statistics give the first good idea of what kind of game can be useful. Have you ever wondered why a bookmaker should provide you with the stats by which you win your bet (and the bookmaker loses with it)?
The bookmaker does this because there are many other aspects that you have to consider when placing a bet.
For example, you can find the form of each team according to the statistics of bookmakers. However, in previous games the team could just be unlucky or lucky. So, if the season is long, consider the long-term record of the teams, such as the last five games.
The following characteristics are appropriate for better game prediction:
- Championship table
- Home / away match
- Statistics by halves
- Goal difference
A distinction can be made here between quantitative and qualitative statistics.
Quantitative. This term refers to statistics such as possession of the ball, the absolute number of shots on goal, or the percentage of assists. Important: These statistics may roughly reflect the game, but they say nothing about which team was better or won.
Qualitative. These are statistics that, unlike quantitative data, allow you to draw conclusions about the strengths and weaknesses of the team.
You can find this data from a smaller number of betting service providers. However, the official pages of the leagues have such data.
Strategy: how to analyze sports betting on statistics
When we analyze statistics, we follow a betting strategy. We should pay attention to the following data:
View home/away results: Are there significant differences in home and away games? The goal difference of the two teams is compared.
Kicks at goal: The number of kicks at goal per game can be found in different applications and on different websites.
Analysis of the previous game: Did the team lose last time because it simply did not realize its chances? Then it will probably try to make amends.
Detailed statistics: goal difference in 15 minutes, table of 1st and 2nd halves.
The betting providers, of course, are also aware of the statistics and take many factors into account when creating odds. Thus, it is a question of being able to estimate a team’s chances of winning better than a bookmaker.